Fed Talk

Fed Talk 7.31.24

CAPATA Financials’ take on today’s FOM press conference and announcement: In summary, Powell was much more dovish in his press conference than would be interpreted from the language of the FOMC statement today. He reiterated that the stance of monetary policy was restrictive and that it was well-positioned to react to either side of their dual mandate moving out of balance from their congressionally mandated goals of two percent inflation…Read more

Fed Talk 05.1.24

CAPATA Financial’s take on today’s FOMC press conference and announcement: In summary, as the Fed maintains ‘restrictive’ rates for longer, we anticipate continued pressure on interest rate-sensitive sectors of the economy (CRE, housing, credit tightening, etc.), as well as overall growth. The only dovish signal from the Fed today was the announcement to slow QT. Slowing the balance….Read more

Fed Talk 12.13.23

CAPATA Financial’s take on today’s FOMC press conference and announcement: In summary, the SEP’s dovish Dot Plot has reinforced market expectations of looser monetary policy going forward. The market’s reaction, evident in rallying long-term yields and equities, reflects this sentiment. Despite the recent CORE CPI reading of 4.0% and fluctuations in oil prices, there’s a … Read more

Fed Talk 11.01.23

CAPATA Financial’s take on today’s FOMC press conference and announcement: In summary, we anticipate that if long-term yields, specifically the 10-year note, continue to rise, the committee will maintain the Fed Funds rate at current levels moving forward, and the flattening of the yield curve will increase the probability of a recession. It may seem counterintuitive to hope for an … Read more